Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.030901 0.035707 0.041027 0.047356 0.054682 0.062902 0.072833
2026-02-01 0.022488 0.028559 0.035945 0.045604 0.057923 0.073138 0.093403
2026-02-08 0.018011 0.024576 0.033158 0.045223 0.061796 0.083830 0.115475
2026-02-15 0.014975 0.021664 0.030938 0.044773 0.064968 0.093500 0.137104
2026-02-22 0.013089 0.019914 0.029868 0.045497 0.069547 0.105361 0.163135
2026-03-01 0.011399 0.018134 0.028405 0.045283 0.072499 0.114972 0.186878
2026-03-08 0.009834 0.016287 0.026532 0.044074 0.073586 0.121643 0.206649
2026-03-15 0.008540 0.014675 0.024784 0.042761 0.074212 0.127474 0.225592
2026-03-22 0.007815 0.013905 0.024297 0.043452 0.078225 0.139343 0.256359
2026-03-29 0.007121 0.013089 0.023613 0.043672 0.081376 0.150003 0.286253
2026-04-05 0.006501 0.012322 0.022910 0.043742 0.084210 0.160350 0.316819
2026-04-12 0.006015 0.011740 0.022466 0.044219 0.087830 0.172528 0.352442
2026-04-19 0.005640 0.011336 0.022327 0.045306 0.092850 0.188176 0.397511
2026-04-26 0.005032 0.010397 0.021043 0.043950 0.092782 0.193693 0.422397
2026-05-03 0.004606 0.009777 0.020320 0.043647 0.094846 0.203809 0.458500
2026-05-10 0.004218 0.009188 0.019587 0.043225 0.096582 0.213405 0.494717
2026-05-17 0.003971 0.008870 0.019386 0.043927 0.100865 0.229048 0.546870
2026-05-24 0.003674 0.008405 0.018813 0.043720 0.103048 0.240221 0.590003
2026-05-31 0.003335 0.007807 0.017874 0.042554 0.102835 0.245813 0.620321
2026-06-07 0.003024 0.007239 0.016941 0.041288 0.102219 0.250356 0.648624
2026-06-14 0.002871 0.007028 0.016814 0.041954 0.106431 0.267143 0.710739
2026-06-21 0.002703 0.006759 0.016519 0.042166 0.109524 0.281517 0.768516
2026-06-28 0.002540 0.006485 0.016184 0.042234 0.112251 0.295287 0.826617